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Red157
205468.9
277134.0
483512.3
Blue82
471520.6
507226.9
159625.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1096205015020015782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.92.6
60.763.3
Auto13.6
Teleop55.3
End0.0
red by 42.0
5072
#12
26.90.5
25.325.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Second
2771
#10
34.02.6
33.636.2
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0
red by 8.7
1596
#26
25.30.5
26.426.9
Auto0.2
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Third
4835
#32
12.32.6
11.113.7
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 8.3
4715
#33
20.60.5
19.820.3
Auto0.8
Teleop19.8
End0.0