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Red30
439226.8
498317.9
522311.8
Blue88
85739.5
437516.1
7449.3
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5710401502002503088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#13
26.81.8
28.526.7
Auto0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 22.5
74
#3
49.30.6
46.746.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
Second
4983
#34
17.91.8
22.320.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 21.7
857
#6
39.50.6
37.336.7
Auto1.0
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Third
5223
#39
11.81.8
15.313.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 4.3
4375
#30
16.10.6
16.415.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0