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Red96
258627.1
571230.0
521327.8
Blue115
557421.4
89422.9
550533.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776505010015096115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#16
30.00.9
27.728.6
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 3.7
33.72.3
28.731.0
Auto1.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
27.80.9
28.429.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
red by 4.9
894
#24
22.92.3
23.225.5
Auto1.0
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
2586
#17
27.10.9
22.123.0
Auto0.4
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 5.7
5574
#19
21.42.3
17.019.3
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0