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Red114
531429.5
523023.8
553426.3
Blue61
482719.2
570217.0
548623.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7060020408010012014016011461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.52.2
26.829.0
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 6.0
23.50.1
24.924.8
Auto1.1
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
5534
#28
26.32.2
23.525.7
Auto0.8
Teleop25.5
End0.0
red by 7.1
4827
#27
19.20.1
19.919.7
Auto0.8
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
5230
#18
23.82.2
20.522.6
Auto0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 6.8
5702
#22
17.00.1
18.818.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop17.9
End0.0