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Red58
554723.2
471520.6
437516.1
Blue115
361711.5
557421.4
439148.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5374010015020025058115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5547
#15
23.20.3
22.422.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 25.0
48.22.1
43.545.6
Auto1.1
Teleop47.1
End0.0
Second
4715
#33
20.60.3
20.320.6
Auto0.8
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 0.8
5574
#19
21.42.1
19.321.4
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
4375
#30
16.10.3
15.816.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 4.6
3617
#35
11.52.1
10.412.5
Auto0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0