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Red33
483512.3
499516.6
132227.0
Blue14
89422.9
497018.4
498317.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566601001502002503003504003314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1322
#23
27.01.3
27.726.4
Auto3.8
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 4.1
894
#24
22.92.7
25.522.9
Auto1.0
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
4995
#31
16.61.3
17.916.6
Auto2.3
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 1.7
4970
#29
18.42.7
21.018.4
Auto0.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
4835
#32
12.31.3
13.712.3
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 5.5
4983
#34
17.92.7
20.517.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.1
End0.0