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Red64
107618.3
366828.0
283210.1
Blue40
261112.7
28025.8
568813.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5150203040607080906440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.2
26.726.9
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 2.2
280
#9
25.80.2
26.025.8
Auto0.3
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Second
1076
#11
18.30.2
17.017.2
Auto0.8
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 4.8
5688
#18
13.50.2
13.713.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
2832
#34
10.10.2
8.89.0
Auto1.3
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 2.6
2611
#17
12.70.2
12.912.7
Auto1.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0