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Red160
360446.3
102363.0
440510.2
Blue32
107618.3
366828.0
283210.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11742010015020016032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.00.8
59.760.5
Auto0.5
Teleop62.4
End0.0
red by 34.9
28.00.4
27.627.3
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
46.30.8
43.043.8
Auto1.6
Teleop44.7
End0.0
red by 28.0
1076
#11
18.30.4
17.917.5
Auto0.8
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
4405
#37
10.20.8
6.97.8
Auto0.6
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 0.2
2832
#34
10.10.4
9.79.3
Auto1.3
Teleop8.8
End0.0