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Red0
525714.3
24012.9
526310.0
Blue18
262014.1
50683.7
366828.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45400206080100120018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5257
#16
14.33.8
20.016.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 13.8
28.01.2
21.820.5
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
240
#21
12.93.8
17.213.4
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 1.2
2620
#23
14.12.0
11.89.7
Auto0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
5263
#27
10.03.8
8.64.7
Auto0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0
red by 6.3
5068
#35
3.72.0
9.07.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.8
End0.0