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Red9
57565.0
283210.1
19416.3
Blue5
552312.8
553113.3
50509.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212805010015095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#34Sur
10.10.6
9.68.9
Auto1.3
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 3.2
5531
#24Sur
13.31.4
8.06.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Second
1941
#38DQ
6.30.6
7.06.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 6.5
5523
#25
12.81.4
8.67.2
Auto0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
5756
#39
5.00.6
6.05.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.2
End0.0
blue by 4.5
5050
#28
9.40.9
11.410.6
Auto0.4
Teleop9.0
End0.0