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Red6
81512.2
24012.9
509014.0
Blue10
20119.5
568813.5
440510.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36330206080100610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5090
#22
14.01.6
12.410.9
Auto0.0
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 5.5
201
#19
19.52.1
12.110.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Second
240
#21
12.92.6
13.410.8
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5688
#18
13.52.1
9.97.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
815
#31Sur
12.22.6
11.28.6
Auto0.4
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 2.0
4405
#37
10.22.1
12.810.7
Auto0.6
Teleop9.7
End0.0