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Red9
50683.7
557714.4
556713.2
Blue18
107618.3
262014.1
12321.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2134050100150918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5577
#14Sur
14.40.7
9.68.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 7.0
123
#10Sur
21.41.3
15.914.6
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Second
5567
#29
13.21.2
7.26.0
Auto0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 5.1
1076
#11
18.30.8
8.07.2
Auto0.8
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
5068
#35Sur
3.71.2
7.05.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.8
End0.0
blue by 10.4
2620
#23
14.11.3
9.78.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0