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Red56
46929.2
12321.4
283210.1
Blue20
267610.6
24012.9
514411.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63240501001502005620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#12
29.20.2
30.430.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.2
End0.0
red by 16.3
240
#21
12.90.9
11.911.0
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Second
123
#10
21.40.2
20.019.7
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 10.4
5144
#26
11.00.9
8.07.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.2
End0.0
Third
2832
#34
10.10.2
8.68.4
Auto1.3
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 0.5
2676
#30
10.60.9
11.210.3
Auto0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0