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Red92
360446.3
262014.1
556713.2
Blue70
354211.5
332234.7
81512.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4746204060801009270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.32.8
33.035.8
Auto1.6
Teleop44.7
End0.0
red by 11.6
34.71.1
31.132.2
Auto0.2
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Second
2620
#23
14.14.7
8.312.9
Auto0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 1.8
815
#31
12.21.9
4.36.1
Auto0.4
Teleop11.8
End0.0
Third
5567
#29
13.24.7
6.911.5
Auto0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 1.8
3542
#33
11.51.9
12.114.0
Auto0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0