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Red52
261112.7
557714.4
107618.3
Blue56
261226.3
552312.8
24012.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314501001505256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1076
#11
18.30.9
10.611.5
Auto0.8
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 8.1
26.30.9
20.521.4
Auto0.9
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
5577
#14
14.40.9
11.011.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 1.5
240
#21
12.90.9
11.011.9
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
2611
#17
12.70.9
12.413.3
Auto1.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 0.1
5523
#25
12.80.9
12.713.6
Auto0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0