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Red21
57565.0
354211.5
267610.6
Blue6
19416.3
525714.3
56198.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26290406080100120140160216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3542
#33
11.50.5
14.013.5
Auto0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 2.8
5257
#16
14.31.8
12.510.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Second
2676
#30
10.60.5
10.39.8
Auto0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
red by 2.5
5619
#20
8.11.2
10.69.4
Auto0.3
Teleop7.8
End0.0
Third
5756
#39
5.00.5
3.02.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.2
End0.0
blue by 1.3
1941
#38
6.31.8
6.14.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.5
End0.0