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Red100
568813.5
102363.0
556713.2
Blue34
509014.0
46929.2
353930.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7076010020030040010034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.01.3
50.651.9
Auto0.5
Teleop62.4
End0.0
red by 33.0
30.03.4
35.031.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Second
5688
#18
13.52.0
11.713.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 15.7
469
#12
29.23.4
30.126.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.2
End0.0
Third
5567
#29
13.22.0
11.513.6
Auto0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 0.7
5090
#22
14.02.2
13.211.0
Auto0.0
Teleop14.0
End0.0