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Red8
526310.0
50509.4
50683.7
Blue14
549820.0
568517.5
20119.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10570100150814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5263
#27
10.00.7
5.85.1
Auto0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 10.0
5498
#15
20.01.5
17.916.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Second
5050
#28
9.40.5
7.87.4
Auto0.4
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 10.0
201
#19
19.51.5
16.715.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
5068
#35
3.70.7
3.73.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.8
End0.0
blue by 13.8
5685
#13
17.51.0
16.815.8
Auto0.3
Teleop17.3
End0.0