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Red104
514411.0
56198.1
102363.0
Blue86
553113.3
526310.0
360446.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7359010015020010486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.01.5
54.556.0
Auto0.5
Teleop62.4
End0.0
red by 16.7
46.31.1
41.242.3
Auto1.6
Teleop44.7
End0.0
Second
5144
#26
11.02.0
11.113.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5531
#24
13.31.5
13.114.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Third
5619
#20
8.11.5
8.09.5
Auto0.3
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5263
#27
10.01.5
8.810.4
Auto0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0