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Red77
19416.3
366828.0
107618.3
Blue92
549820.0
557714.4
262014.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4140203050607080907792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.01.7
24.326.0
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 8.1
5498
#15
20.03.3
16.920.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Second
1076
#11
18.31.7
12.414.1
Auto0.8
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 3.9
5577
#14
14.42.5
12.114.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
1941
#38
6.32.3
6.18.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 7.8
2620
#23
14.13.3
13.016.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0