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Red6
46929.2
50683.7
549820.0
Blue53
56198.1
557714.4
360446.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54650100150200653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#12
29.22.8
30.727.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.2
End0.0
blue by 17.1
46.30.3
42.341.9
Auto1.6
Teleop44.7
End0.0
Second
5498
#15
20.02.5
21.819.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 5.5
5577
#14
14.40.3
14.113.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
5068
#35
3.72.8
4.92.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.8
End0.0
blue by 4.4
5619
#20
8.10.3
9.59.2
Auto0.3
Teleop7.8
End0.0