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Red33
57565.0
526310.0
83522.8
Blue27
262014.1
24012.9
43956.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373202060801003327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
835
#6
22.80.2
22.922.6
Auto0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 8.7
2620
#23
14.10.4
14.514.1
Auto0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Second
5263
#27
10.00.3
9.99.7
Auto0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 2.9
240
#21
12.90.4
13.312.9
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
5756
#39
5.00.3
5.14.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.2
End0.0
blue by 1.2
4395
#36
6.10.4
6.66.1
Auto0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0