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Red60
353930.0
568813.5
553113.3
Blue67
354211.5
46929.2
107618.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415601001506067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.01.3
29.130.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.0
End0.0
red by 0.8
469
#12
29.21.0
34.135.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.2
End0.0
Second
5688
#18
13.51.3
8.69.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 4.8
1076
#11
18.30.6
7.48.0
Auto0.8
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
5531
#24
13.31.3
6.78.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 1.8
3542
#33
11.51.0
13.814.8
Auto0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0