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Red28
440510.2
332234.7
261226.3
Blue4
549820.0
514411.0
57565.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions642004080100120140160284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.71.3
25.224.0
Auto0.2
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 14.8
5498
#15
20.01.5
9.58.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Second
26.32.1
19.217.1
Auto0.9
Teleop25.4
End0.0
red by 15.3
5144
#26
11.01.5
10.89.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.2
End0.0
Third
4405
#37
10.22.1
14.912.8
Auto0.6
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 5.2
5756
#39
5.01.5
7.56.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.2
End0.0