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Red69
56105.7
387523.6
517310.9
Blue71
365819.8
421619.9
553512.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344501001506971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.61.6
15.817.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 3.7
19.92.1
13.515.7
Auto0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0
Second
5173
#32
10.92.7
13.616.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 8.9
19.81.3
20.021.3
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
5610
#38
5.72.7
7.410.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 7.1
5535
#11
12.82.1
11.713.8
Auto0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0