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Red4
44539.1
55326.3
52057.6
Blue16
515211.7
440912.2
51829.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2725010204050607080416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4453
#18
9.11.4
12.310.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 3.0
4409
#15
12.20.9
6.85.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Second
5205
#36
7.61.4
7.25.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 4.1
5152
#21
11.70.9
12.411.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
5532
#39
6.31.4
7.15.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.4
End0.0
blue by 2.8
5182
#29
9.00.9
8.37.3
Auto0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0