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Red78
365627.7
519412.5
525613.1
Blue77
345230.3
167723.0
52057.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47280204060801001201407877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.71.6
25.627.2
Auto0.9
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 2.5
30.33.8
19.623.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Second
5256
#10
13.11.6
7.99.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 10.0
23.03.8
6.610.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Third
5194
#12
12.52.7
12.214.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 4.9
5205
#36
7.63.8
5.89.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0