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Red54
438138.1
516216.2
544812.8
Blue58
440810.8
423713.1
283429.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59260501001505458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.1
28.027.9
Auto0.3
Teleop37.8
End0.0
red by 8.8
29.32.6
19.522.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.3
End0.0
Second
5162
#17
16.20.2
21.020.9
Auto0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 3.1
4237
#24
13.12.6
5.58.1
Auto0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
5448
#14
12.80.2
7.27.0
Auto0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 2.0
4408
#31
10.82.6
7.510.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0