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Red8
52273.1
150419.6
55326.3
Blue34
43687.5
524817.2
52047.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3328020406080100834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#13
19.61.3
18.417.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 2.4
17.20.2
11.311.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
5532
#39
6.32.1
5.73.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.4
End0.0
blue by 1.3
4368
#34
7.50.4
9.910.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
Third
5227
#40
3.12.1
9.17.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.2
End0.0
blue by 4.3
5204
#37
7.40.4
8.58.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0