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Red21
519412.5
52047.4
562310.5
Blue10
516216.2
515211.7
56105.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274102060801001201401602110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5194
#12
12.50.8
13.312.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 3.6
5162
#17
16.22.0
19.217.2
Auto0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Second
5623
#27
10.50.8
10.69.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 1.2
5152
#21
11.72.0
12.010.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
5204
#37
7.40.8
6.65.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
red by 1.7
5610
#38
5.72.0
9.07.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0