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Red4
448215.9
423713.1
517310.9
Blue25
525613.1
54627.8
524817.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42290206080100120425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4482
#16
15.91.9
16.214.4
Auto0.9
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 1.3
17.20.3
13.313.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
4237
#24
13.13.1
10.37.1
Auto0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Level
5256
#10
13.10.3
8.98.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
5173
#32
10.93.1
14.911.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 3.1
5462
#33
7.80.6
9.58.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0