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Red36
423713.1
421619.9
43687.5
Blue46
365819.8
283429.3
365627.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30820501001502003646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.2
18.218.0
Auto0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0
blue by 9.3
29.32.6
26.523.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.3
End0.0
Second
4237
#24
13.10.2
11.411.2
Auto0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 14.6
27.71.6
28.827.2
Auto0.9
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
4368
#34
7.50.2
9.39.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 12.3
19.81.6
21.820.3
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0