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Red30
56105.7
567511.0
83013.9
Blue41
525613.1
544812.8
515211.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313001020405060703041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#23
13.90.1
14.714.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 0.8
5256
#10
13.10.5
10.410.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Second
5675
#28
11.00.1
10.710.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5448
#14
12.80.8
9.610.4
Auto0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
5610
#38
5.70.1
5.95.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 6.0
5152
#21
11.70.8
11.812.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0