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Red36
438138.1
152812.4
517310.9
Blue7
52047.4
150419.6
421619.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51390206080100120140367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.7
31.730.9
Auto0.3
Teleop37.8
End0.0
red by 18.1
19.92.7
18.015.2
Auto0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0
Second
1528
#19
12.41.2
9.78.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 7.2
1504
#13
19.61.7
18.416.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
5173
#32
10.91.1
9.28.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 3.5
5204
#37
7.42.9
5.52.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0