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Red31
51829.0
52047.4
516216.2
Blue5
56105.7
440810.8
167723.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462006080100120140160315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5162
#17
16.21.0
22.121.0
Auto0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 6.9
23.01.2
7.76.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Second
5182
#29
9.01.0
9.38.3
Auto0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 1.8
4408
#31
10.81.2
8.67.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
5204
#37
7.41.0
12.211.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
red by 1.7
5610
#38
5.713.7
21.17.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0