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Red43
83013.9
152812.4
515211.7
Blue10
440912.2
387523.6
423713.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393402060801001204310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#23
13.90.2
17.317.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 9.7
23.61.3
17.115.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Second
1528
#19
12.40.3
10.010.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 0.7
4237
#24
13.12.2
10.28.0
Auto0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
5152
#21
11.70.3
12.112.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 0.4
4409
#15
12.22.2
9.06.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0