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Red26
125414.6
283429.3
567511.0
Blue30
517310.9
550112.4
525613.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402702060801001201402630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.31.1
19.618.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.3
End0.0
red by 16.2
5256
#10
13.10.0
7.87.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Second
1254
#20
14.61.1
10.89.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 2.2
5501
#25
12.418.3
26.88.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
5675
#28
11.020.7
28.27.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Level
5173
#32
10.90.0
13.613.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.9
End0.0