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Red89
438138.1
44539.1
54627.8
Blue63
519412.5
365819.8
51617.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413502060801001201408963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.12.4
24.927.3
Auto0.3
Teleop37.8
End0.0
red by 18.2
19.81.6
18.520.0
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
4453
#18
9.13.9
8.312.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 3.4
5194
#12
12.52.6
9.712.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
5462
#33
7.81.2
11.312.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0
red by 0.2
5161
#30
7.61.6
9.310.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0