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Red12
544812.8
194011.6
52057.6
Blue4
55326.3
43687.5
448215.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2533050100150200124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5448
#14
12.89.1
16.47.3
Auto0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 3.1
4482
#16
15.90.9
14.313.4
Auto0.9
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
1940
#22
11.61.3
10.18.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 4.1
4368
#34
7.51.4
10.38.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
Third
5205
#36
7.61.3
8.47.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0
red by 1.3
5532
#39
6.33.1
10.27.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.4
End0.0