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Red64
524817.2
553512.8
562310.5
Blue70
421619.9
345230.3
516216.2
33%Model gave it67%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215001001502006470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.21.9
8.910.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 13.1
30.31.9
15.317.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Second
5535
#11
12.84.7
16.411.7
Auto0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 7.2
19.91.9
11.613.5
Auto0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0
Third
5623
#27
10.56.3
18.011.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 5.7
5162
#17
16.21.9
20.222.1
Auto0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0