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Red28
440810.8
550112.4
52273.1
Blue10
54627.8
56105.7
562310.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262501020304050602810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5501
#25
12.40.1
12.312.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 1.9
5623
#27
10.50.9
11.710.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.6
End0.0
Second
4408
#31
10.80.1
10.710.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 3.0
5462
#33
7.80.9
8.87.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0
Third
5227
#40
3.10.1
3.03.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.2
End0.0
blue by 2.6
5610
#38
5.70.9
6.65.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0