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Red60
167723.0
515211.7
524817.2
Blue61
125414.6
544812.8
43687.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5223040801001201401606061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.9
22.123.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 8.4
1254
#20
14.61.8
11.713.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Second
17.20.8
17.117.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 4.4
5448
#14
12.81.8
11.313.1
Auto0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
5152
#21
11.70.9
10.611.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 4.2
4368
#34
7.51.8
5.77.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0