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Red14
83013.9
516216.2
194011.6
Blue23
51617.6
52057.6
365627.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4545152530354050551423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5162
#17
16.21.8
17.916.1
Auto0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 11.6
27.71.2
28.727.6
Auto0.9
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
830
#23
13.91.6
15.313.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 6.3
5161
#30
7.61.2
8.87.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
Third
1940
#22
11.61.8
13.411.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 4.0
5205
#36
7.61.3
8.97.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0