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Red84
118930.4
400330.1
353614.8
Blue120
436231.6
438437.2
83017.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708305010015020084120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.2
30.230.4
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End0.0
blue by 6.8
37.20.6
36.637.2
Auto1.1
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
30.10.2
29.930.1
Auto7.4
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 1.5
31.60.6
31.031.6
Auto0.6
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Third
3536
#31
14.80.2
14.714.8
Auto0.9
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 2.4
830
#24
17.30.6
16.717.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0