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Red19
553013.8
277118.9
36559.5
Blue35
568511.8
49426.9
86232.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325601001501935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#25
18.91.5
18.216.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 13.2
862
#4
32.11.6
21.920.3
Auto0.4
Teleop31.6
End0.0
Second
5530
#18
13.81.5
6.95.4
Auto0.5
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 13.1
494
#10
26.91.6
22.420.8
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
3655
#33
9.51.5
12.210.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 2.4
5685
#26
11.81.6
10.08.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.1
End0.0