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Red36
438437.2
353614.8
3025.2
Blue34
10727.5
335721.7
436231.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394801001503634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.5
17.817.3
Auto1.1
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 5.6
31.61.2
13.812.7
Auto0.6
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
3536
#31
14.80.5
7.36.8
Auto0.9
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 12.7
107
#13
27.51.2
19.518.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Third
302
#40
5.20.5
16.816.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.5
End0.0
blue by 16.5
3357
#19
21.71.2
14.713.5
Auto0.2
Teleop21.5
End0.0