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Red30
366820.9
14112.5
191825.6
Blue16
365818.5
570414.8
506710.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions522304060801001201401603016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#16
25.61.1
26.425.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 7.1
3658
#17
18.51.0
12.711.7
Auto0.5
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Second
3668
#12
20.91.1
9.58.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 6.1
5704
#21
14.81.0
6.95.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
141
#32
12.51.1
13.112.0
Auto0.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 1.9
5067
#30
10.61.0
8.57.5
Auto0.9
Teleop9.6
End0.0