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Red2
52567.8
189617.8
10767.3
Blue36
49426.9
10727.5
357219.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11600204080100120140160236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1896
#14
17.81.5
4.12.6
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 9.7
107
#13
27.51.5
18.416.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Second
5256
#39
7.81.5
9.07.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 19.1
494
#10
26.91.5
20.819.2
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
1076
#35
7.31.5
6.44.9
Auto0.6
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 12.6
3572
#23
19.91.5
15.313.7
Auto0.9
Teleop19.0
End0.0