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Red10
36559.5
432713.1
83017.3
Blue26
553013.8
86232.1
570414.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3031010204050601026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#24
17.31.8
11.49.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 14.8
862
#4
32.10.5
20.319.8
Auto0.4
Teleop31.6
End0.0
Second
4327
#27
13.11.8
9.17.3
Auto0.6
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 1.7
5704
#21
14.80.5
5.95.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
3655
#33
9.51.8
10.78.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 4.3
5530
#18
13.80.5
5.45.0
Auto0.5
Teleop13.3
End0.0