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Red30
335721.7
506710.6
118930.4
Blue16
400428.4
36559.5
189617.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433002060801001201401603016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.41.0
17.316.3
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 2.0
28.41.5
13.612.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
3357
#19
21.71.0
15.714.7
Auto0.2
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 3.8
1896
#14
17.81.5
6.34.8
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
5067
#30
10.61.0
9.58.5
Auto0.9
Teleop9.6
End0.0
red by 1.1
3655
#33
9.51.5
13.712.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0